Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Alexandre Muller		Adam Walton

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.47	2.7	Watch
	1.47	2.9
	1.47	2.86	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.45	2.78	Watch
	1.47	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.62)	2.76 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
65.3%

Adam Walton
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.

Adam Walton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adam Walton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adam Walton than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Alexandre Muller - Adam Walton Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Muller will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Walton will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 76. Walton is ranked ATP: 96.

Recent matches Muller is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Walton is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Walton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Muller will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
19.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Strong Kirchheimer	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.24	Tristan Boyer - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LW?LW
- Adam Walton
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.24	Christopher Eubanks - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.24	Nishesh Basavareddy - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
04.08.24	Adam Walton - Emil Ruusuvuori	Canceled ✺
ATP Washington
29.07.24	Adam Walton - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
24.07.24	Adam Walton - Arthur Rinderknech	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LL?LL

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