Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday


	Alexandre Muller		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.63	2.24	Watch
	1.63	2.4
	1.61	2.38	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.29	Watch
	1.63	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.9)	2.29 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
58.4%

Pavel Kotov
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexandre Muller's performance.

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pavel Kotov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexandre Muller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pavel Kotov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexandre Muller will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 76. Kotov is ranked ATP: 63.

Muller is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kotov is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Muller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Muller will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Strong Kirchheimer	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.24	Tristan Boyer - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Fabio Fognini - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?LWW
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.24	Matteo Berrettini - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.24	Pavel Kotov - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
15.07.24	Pavel Kotov - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Pavel Kotov - Jordan Thompson	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
21.05.24	Pavel Kotov - Alexandre Muller	2:0
ATP Marrakech
08.04.23	Alexandre Muller - Pavel Kotov	2:0

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