Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Spain	M+ Deportes 2, Movistar Deportes 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Alexandre Muller		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.42	Watch
	2.95	1.45
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.59	1.51	Watch
	2.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.1)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
34.8%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandre Muller's form might have worsened.

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Aliassime-Auger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Aliassime-Auger (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Muller (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 40. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 30.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Aliassime-Auger might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Muller won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Alexander Zverev - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Elias Ymer - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
07.05.25	Jiri Lehecka - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWLWL
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Daniel Altmaier - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Thiago Seyboth Wild	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Challenger
07.11.18	Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled
15.06.18	Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2

Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide