Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2025, Thursday


	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.33	1.58	Watch
	2.2	1.64	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.26	1.65	Watch
	2.33	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.26)	1.61 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
41.2%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65%	0%	35%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mpetshi Perricard: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 36. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 29.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Aliassime-Auger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aliassime-Auger is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mpetshi Perricard won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.89%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Stuttgart
09.06.25	Roman Safiullin - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Damir Dzumhur	1:3 ✺
25.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Zizou Bergs	3:1 ✺
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
23.05.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Daniel Altmaier - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Basel
24.10.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2

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