Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: VICENZA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday


	Luciano Darderi		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2.01	1.83
	2.01	1.74	Watch
	1.94	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.57)	1.79 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
47.8%

Luca Nardi
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luciano Darderi's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luciano Darderi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Nardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Luciano Darderi - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nardi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Darderi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nardi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Darderi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.23	Facundo Bagnis - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Luciano Darderi - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Andrea Collarini - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
28.04.23	Luciano Darderi - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.23	Luca Nardi - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.23	Luca Nardi - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
16.04.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.06.22	Luca Nardi - Luciano Darderi	1:2

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