Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 17 August 2026, Monday
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Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves |
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Luka Pavlovic |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.18 |
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1.59 |
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2.25 |
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1.56 |
Watch |
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2.29 |
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1.62 |
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2.27 |
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1.56 |
Watch |
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2.25 |
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1.55 |
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2.30 |
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1.55 |
Watch |
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2.25 |
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1.55 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.9) |
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1.57 ↑
(1.35) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
41% | Luka Pavlovic
59% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's performance.Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luka Pavlovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+15.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luka Pavlovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Meligeni is ranked ATP: 567. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 207.Meligeni is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).Pavlovic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Pavlovic is a strong favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Meligeni won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 13.04.25 | Luka Pavlovic - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 0:2 |
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