Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Jacob Fearnley		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
	1.22	4.00
	1.22	4.00
	1.21	4.25
	1.24	4.28
	1.27	3.76	Watch
	1.21	4.35
	1.24	4.06	Watch
	1.23	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.28)	4.08 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
76.8%

Luka Pavlovic
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jacob Fearnley - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Pavlovic (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pavlovic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 100. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 203.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fearnley is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.08.26	Taro Daniel - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Nicolas Mejia - Jacob Fearnley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Luka Pavlovic - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Vilius Gaubas - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Matteo Martineau - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Luka Pavlovic - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW

Jacob Fearnley - Luka Pavlovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide