Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday


	Alexandre Muller		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.9
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.86	1.96
	1.88	1.93	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.82	1.9	Watch
	1.83	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.56)	1.89 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexandre Muller
50.7%

Roberto Carballes Baena
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexandre Muller's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alexandre Muller - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Muller is ranked ATP: 68. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 55.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Muller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Muller won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexandre Muller
ATP Vienna
20.10.24	Jakub Mensik - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Maximilian Marterer - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
17.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Leo Borg - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Basel
21.10.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled ✺
ATP Antwerp
16.10.24	Alex De Minaur - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
14.10.24	Dominik Koepfer - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
04.10.24	Arthur Fils - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
09.04.23	Alexandre Muller - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.19	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alexandre Muller	3:0

Alexandre Muller - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide