Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm (Sweden), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 October 2024, Thursday


	Andrey Rublev		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.19	4.5
	1.21	4.5	Watch
	1.21	4.99
	1.22	4.79	Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.21	4.47	Watch
	1.21	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	4.56 ↑ (3.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
79%

Alexandre Muller
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrey Rublev's performance.

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandre Muller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrey Rublev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandre Muller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Andrey Rublev - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rublev is ranked ATP: 7. Muller is ranked ATP: 70.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Muller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rublev is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rublev won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Shanghai
05.10.24	Andrey Rublev - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
30.09.24	Andrey Rublev - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Andrey Rublev - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.24	Andrey Rublev - Grigor Dimitrov	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Stockholm
15.10.24	Leo Borg - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Alexandre Muller - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Luca Nardi - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
22.09.24	Alexandre Muller - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
13.05.24	Alexandre Muller - Andrey Rublev	2:1

Andrey Rublev - Alexandre Muller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide