Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Alexei Popyrin		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	4.33	1.22	Watch
	4.2	1.21	Watch
	4.67	1.22
	3.94	1.25	Watch
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.3	1.24	Watch
	4.2	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.33)	1.23 ↑ (1.22)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
22.5%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
77.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

78%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Alexei Popyrin - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 51. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 8.

Aliassime-Auger is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Popyrin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Alexei Popyrin - Alexandre Muller	2:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
11.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Alexei Popyrin - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
ATP Athens
02.11.25	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Montpellier
08.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Nuno Borges - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Auger-Aliassime F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
12.05.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexei Popyrin	1:2
ATP Adelaide
02.01.23	Alexei Popyrin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
13.06.20	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexei Popyrin	Canceled

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