Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.33	3.58
	1.3	3.43	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.32	3.41	Watch
	1.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 (1.31)	3.39 ↑ (3.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
72.1%

Stanislas Wawrinka
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Wawrinka will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wawrinka: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Wawrinka (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Aliassime-Auger (1.92) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Wawrinka (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 3 - 30%). Wawrinka (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 8. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 113.

In recent matches, Wawrinka has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aliassime-Auger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aliassime-Auger is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Nuno Borges - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Auger-Aliassime F. retired ✺
ATP United Cup
05.01.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
15.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Alexander Zverev - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?LWLW
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
24.01.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:3 ✺
22.01.26	Arthur Gea - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Laslo Djere - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:3 ✺
ATP United Cup
11.01.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL

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