Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday


	Alexei Popyrin		Mikael Ymer

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.86	1.95
	1.82	2.01
	1.85	2.05
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.8	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.15)	2.01 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
52.7%

Mikael Ymer
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexei Popyrin's performance.

Mikael Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikael Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexei Popyrin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikael Ymer than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikael Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	0%	27.8%

Alexei Popyrin - Mikael Ymer Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). Ymer will win (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Popyrin: 57.6% – 86.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ymer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Popyrin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Challenger
18.03.23	Alexei Popyrin - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
17.03.23	Mikael Ymer - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Oscar Otte - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
11.03.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
09.03.23	Alexei Popyrin - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW
- Mikael Ymer
ATP Challenger
17.03.23	Mikael Ymer - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
15.03.23	Mikael Ymer - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.23	Mikael Ymer - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
01.03.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Mikael Ymer	2:1 ✺
28.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.03.23	Mikael Ymer - Alexei Popyrin	0:2

Alexei Popyrin - Mikael Ymer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide