Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.83	2.05
	1.73	2.03	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.79	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.64)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
53.6%

Alexei Popyrin
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: Taylor Harry Fritz will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 8. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 61.

Popyrin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fritz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexei Popyrin - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.16%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Miami
24.03.26	Jiri Lehecka - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Reilly Opelka - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Alex Michelsen - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Jacob Fearnley - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Geneva
19.05.26	Alexei Popyrin - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Alexei Popyrin - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
18.01.23	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexei Popyrin	2:3
ATP Washington
03.08.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexei Popyrin	2:0

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