Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 ESCH/ALZETTE (LUXEMBOURG), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 January 2024, Tuesday


	Alexey Vatutin		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.44
	2.5	1.45
	2.62	1.45
	2.62	1.45
	2.62	1.44
	2.56	1.47	Watch
	2.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.2)	1.45 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
36.1%

Jacob Fearnley
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacob Fearnley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacob Fearnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Vatutin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fearnley in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fearnley will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Fearnley to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
12.12.23	Niels Visker - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
06.12.23	Alexey Vatutin - Mark Wallner	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.11.23	Alexey Vatutin - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
27.11.23	Alexey Vatutin - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Alexey Vatutin - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- Jacob Fearnley
ITF Tournaments
19.11.23	Jacob Fearnley - Learner Tien	Fearnley J. retired ✺
18.11.23	Jacob Fearnley - Shunsuke Mitsui	2:1 ✺
17.11.23	Radu Mihai Papoe - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
16.11.23	Evan Sharygin - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
15.11.23	Jacob Fearnley - Johannus Monday	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 ?WWWW

Alexey Vatutin - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide