Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Antalya 4, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Alexey Vatutin		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.76	1.41	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.62	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.19)	1.43 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
35%

Daniel Michalski
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.

Daniel Michalski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Michalski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Michalski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alexey Vatutin - Daniel Michalski Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vatutin (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Vatutin is ranked ATP: 340. Michalski is ranked ATP: 343.

Vatutin is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Michalski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Michalski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Michalski will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
10.04.25	Alexey Vatutin - Eero Vasa	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Alexey Vatutin - Kuzma Gomziakov	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Alexey Vatutin - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Alexey Vatutin - Nino Serdarusic	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Alexey Vatutin - Junzhang Fu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW
- Daniel Michalski
ITF Tournaments
10.04.25	Evgenii Tiurnev - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Jakub Nicod - Daniel Michalski	Nicod J. retired ✺
05.04.25	Oleksii Krutykh - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Stijn Slump - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Bekkhan Atlangeriev - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 W?LWW

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