Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Antalya 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Alexey Vatutin		Sergey Fomin

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.12	1.67
	2.08	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.71)	1.67 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
44.5%

Sergey Fomin
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.

Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergey Fomin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergey Fomin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Vatutin is ranked ATP: 342. Fomin is ranked ATP: 555.

Vatutin is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fomin in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fomin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
03.04.25	Alexey Vatutin - Nino Serdarusic	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Alexey Vatutin - Junzhang Fu	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Alexey Vatutin - Loann Massard	Massard L. walkover ✺
18.03.25	Alexey Vatutin - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.25	Patrick Zahraj - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WW?WL
- Sergey Fomin
ITF Tournaments
03.04.25	Sean Cuenin - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Sergey Fomin - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Gabriel Ghetu - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Svyatoslav Gulin - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Sergey Fomin - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW

Alexey Vatutin - Sergey Fomin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide