Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday


	Alexey Vatutin		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.19	1.65
	2.14	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.12	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.86)	1.65 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
43.5%

Lucas Poullain
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Poullain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alexey Vatutin - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Vatutin is ranked ATP: 330. Poullain is ranked ATP: 438.

Two players are playing changeable.

Poullain could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vatutin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexey Vatutin - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Alexey Vatutin - Arthur Reymond	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Lucas Poullain - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Alexey Vatutin - Jakub Paul	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Alexey Vatutin - Ivan Gakhov	2:1 ✺
27.01.25	Gianluca Mager - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
16.02.25	Kaito Uesugi - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.02.25	Lucas Poullain - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	Blake Mott - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Marcello Serafini - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Tom Paris - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Lucas Poullain - Alexey Vatutin	2:0
ITF Tournaments
25.05.24	Lucas Poullain - Alexey Vatutin	0:2

Alexey Vatutin - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide