Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Tom Paris		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.89	1.81
	1.96	1.91
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.04)	1.83 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Paris
49.2%

Lucas Poullain
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Paris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	0%	78.3%

Tom Paris - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Paris will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Poullain will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poullain: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lucas Poullain will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Paris is ranked ATP: 332. Poullain is ranked ATP: 421.

Poullain is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Paris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Poullain will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paris won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tom Paris - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.3%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Paris
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Tom Paris - Yosuke Watanuki	Canceled ✺
03.03.26	Tom Paris - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Tom Paris - Robin Catry	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Tom Paris - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Tom Paris - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LLLW
- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Lucas Poullain - Alex Knaff	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lucas Poullain - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Lucas Poullain - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Norbert Gombos - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Robin Catry - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Tom Paris - Lucas Poullain	2:0
24.09.23	Tom Paris - Lucas Poullain	1:2

Tom Paris - Lucas Poullain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide