Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday


	Alexey Vatutin		Riccardo Bonadio

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.42
	2.8	1.43
	2.7	1.41
	2.89	1.43
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.79	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.5)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexey Vatutin
34.2%

Riccardo Bonadio
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Riccardo Bonadio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riccardo Bonadio than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Alexey Vatutin - Riccardo Bonadio Predictions

Users Predictions: Riccardo Bonadio will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vatutin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bonadio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bonadio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bonadio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vatutin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
11.07.22	Alexey Vatutin - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
10.07.22	Alexey Vatutin - Christian Langmo	Langmo C. retired ✺
04.07.22	Kacper Zuk - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
03.07.22	Tristan Lamasine - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
28.06.22	Alexey Vatutin - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 L?LWL
- Riccardo Bonadio
ATP Challenger
14.07.22	Francesco Maestrelli - Riccardo Bonadio	2:1 ✺
12.07.22	Riccardo Bonadio - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
04.07.22	Taro Daniel - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.22	Riccardo Bonadio - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
20.06.22	Andrea Arnaboldi - Riccardo Bonadio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.04.19	Alexey Vatutin - Riccardo Bonadio	2:1

Alexey Vatutin - Riccardo Bonadio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide