Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - Final

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Alexis Galarneau		Borna Gojo

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.95	1.34	Watch
	2.84	1.38	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.89	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.21)	1.35 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
31.2%

Borna Gojo
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexis Galarneau's form might have worsened.

Borna Gojo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borna Gojo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexis Galarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Gojo than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borna Gojo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Alexis Galarneau - Borna Gojo Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Gojo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gojo (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Galarneau (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Galarneau (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Galarneau (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gojo (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 230. Gojo is ranked ATP: 237.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Gojo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gojo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Gojo will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.18%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Borna Gojo - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.82%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Andres Andrade - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Cannon Kingsley	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Alexis Galarneau - Stefan Dostanic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Borna Gojo
ATP Challenger
21.02.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Borna Gojo - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Borna Gojo - Ben Jones	Jones B. retired ✺
16.02.26	Borna Gojo - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Borna Gojo - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WW?WL

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