Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MORELOS (MEXICO), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday


	Alexis Galarneau		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2	1.77
	2.01	1.83
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	1.97	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.08)	1.77 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
47.2%

Mark Lajal
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Alexis Galarneau - Mark Lajal Predictions

Users Predictions: Mark Lajal will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Galarneau is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lajal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lajal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Lajal to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Galarneau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
11.04.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
06.04.23	Terence Atmane - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
04.04.23	Alexis Galarneau - Antoine Bellier	2:0 ✺
03.04.23	Alexis Galarneau - Patrick Kypson	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Alexis Galarneau - Federico Zeballos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLW
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
17.04.23	Mark Lajal - Jose-Rubin Statham	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Mark Lajal - Luca Lemaitre	2:0 ✺
10.04.23	Adam Walton - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
09.04.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
27.03.23	Mark Lajal - Antoine Hoang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL

Alexis Galarneau - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide