Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Columbus, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	Braden Shick		Mees Rottgering

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.36	1.52	Watch
	2.55	1.51
	2.50	1.47	Watch
	2.60	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.07)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braden Shick
37.1%

Mees Rottgering
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braden Shick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braden Shick's form might have worsened.

Mees Rottgering has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mees Rottgering's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braden Shick than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braden Shick, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mees Rottgering than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mees Rottgering, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Braden Shick - Mees Rottgering Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shick will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rottgering will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rottgering (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shick is ranked ATP: 207., and Rottgering is ranked ATP: 335..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Shick may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Shick has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Braden Shick - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.5%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Mees Rottgering - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.5%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braden Shick
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Braden Shick - Ozan Baris	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Braden Shick - Patrick Maloney	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Braden Shick - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Braden Shick - Erik Arutiunian	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL
- Mees Rottgering
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Mees Rottgering - Edward Winter	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Nishesh Basavareddy - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Arthur Fery - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Mees Rottgering - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Jan Choinski - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.01.26	Mees Rottgering - Braden Shick	0:2

Braden Shick - Mees Rottgering: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide