Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Chengdu 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Elias Ymer		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
			Watch
	2.60	1.45
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.61	1.47	Watch
	2.7	1.43
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.72)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
35.9%

Alexis Galarneau
64.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Elias Ymer - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Galarneau will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 190., and Galarneau is ranked ATP: 179..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Ymer may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Galarneau is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.1%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Elias Ymer - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Elias Ymer - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Elias Ymer - Semen Pankin	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Elias Ymer - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Elias Ymer	Ymer E. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWL?
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Fajing Sun - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Linang Xiao - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Semen Pankin - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Elias Ymer - Yi Zhou	✺

Elias Ymer - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide