Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Alexis Galarneau		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.96	Watch
	1.86	1.98
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.8	1.94	Watch
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.5)	2.06 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
54.2%

Matteo Martineau
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexis Galarneau's form might have worsened.

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Martineau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexis Galarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matteo Martineau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alexis Galarneau - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Martineau will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galarneau: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matteo Martineau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 179. Martineau is ranked ATP: 297.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Galarneau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Galarneau might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galarneau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.5%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Alexis Galarneau - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Raphael Collignon - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Alexis Galarneau - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Alexis Galarneau - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Alexis Galarneau - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWL
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Etienne Donnet	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Patrick Zahraj - Matteo Martineau	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Matteo Martineau - Stuart Parker	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Alexis Galarneau - Matteo Martineau	1:2

Alexis Galarneau - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide