Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune (India), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday


	Valentin Vacherot		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.4
	1.62	2.27	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.53	2.39	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.85)	2.26 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Vacherot
58.5%

Alexis Galarneau
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Vacherot's performance.

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexis Galarneau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Vacherot that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexis Galarneau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Valentin Vacherot - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: Valentin Vacherot will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vacherot is ranked ATP: 201. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 170.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Galarneau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
19.02.25	Valentin Vacherot - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
17.02.25	Elmer Moller - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Valentin Vacherot - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Jiri Vesely - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
02.02.25	Valentin Vacherot - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
19.02.25	Michael Geerts - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Karan Singh - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Alexis Galarneau - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Ilia Simakin - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Alexis Galarneau - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW

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