Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bloomfield Hills, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Alexis Galarneau		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	1.73	2.00	Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.75	2.02
	1.79	2.08
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.75	2.03
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.72	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.09)	2.01 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
53.6%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexis Galarneau's performance.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pablo Llamas Ruiz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexis Galarneau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Llamas Ruiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Alexis Galarneau - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Galarneau: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Galarneau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 158. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 116.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Llamas Ruiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexis Galarneau - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.38%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Tyler Zink - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Kaichi Uchida - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Alexis Galarneau - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Alexis Galarneau - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Zachary Svajda	0:3 ✺
25.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Tristan Boyer	1:3 ✺
24.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Dan Added	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL

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