Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Newport, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Alexis Galarneau		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.85	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.4
	2.91	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3.25	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.74)	1.35 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
30.3%

Jacob Fearnley
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Alexis Galarneau - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Fearnley will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Galarneau is ranked ATP: 179. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 159.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Fearnley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fearnley is a strong favorite.

We predict that Fearnley will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Alexis Galarneau - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Adrian Mannarino - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Alexis Galarneau - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Alexis Galarneau - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLW
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Darwin Blanch - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Jaume Munar	0:3 ✺
30.06.26	Alex Michelsen - Jacob Fearnley	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Alexis Galarneau - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide