Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 9 January 2023, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Alexis Galarneau		Ryan Peniston

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	2.4	1.53
	2.4	1.56
	2.27	1.59
	2.5	1.55
	2.2	1.62
	2.42	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.96)	1.58 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
40.5%

Ryan Peniston
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexis Galarneau's form might have worsened.

Ryan Peniston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ryan Peniston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexis Galarneau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryan Peniston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Alexis Galarneau - Ryan Peniston Predictions

Users Predictions: Ryan Peniston will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Galarneau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Peniston is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Peniston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Peniston will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Peniston to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
31.12.22	Liam Broady - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
18.11.22	Alexis Galarneau - Michael Geerts	1:2 ✺
16.11.22	Alexis Galarneau - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
14.11.22	Alexis Galarneau - Gabriel Decamps	2:1 ✺
11.11.22	Alexis Galarneau - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL
- Ryan Peniston
ATP Challenger
06.01.23	Ryan Peniston - Laurent Lokoli	Lokoli L. walkover ✺
05.01.23	Damir Dzumhur - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
03.01.23	Colin Sinclair - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
02.01.23	Kaichi Uchida - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
23.11.22	Marton Fucsovics - Ryan Peniston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 ?WWWL

Alexis Galarneau - Ryan Peniston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide