Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday


	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.64	1.46	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.38)	1.46 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
36.3%

Alexis Galarneau
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexis Galarneau will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Meligeni is ranked ATP: 176. Galarneau is ranked ATP: 159.

Meligeni in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Galarneau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Meligeni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Galarneau is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Meligeni to win the game is with odds 2.95.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
23.03.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Patrick Maloney - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	Alexis Galarneau - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Arthur Cazaux - Alexis Galarneau	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Alexis Galarneau - Enzo Couacaud	Canceled ✺
22.02.25	Brandon Holt - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLW?L

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