Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Granby - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 14 July 2025, Monday


	Alfredo Perez		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9
	1.61	2.17	Watch
	1.59	2.31
			Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfredo Perez
54.7%

Hiroki Moriya
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfredo Perez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfredo Perez than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alfredo Perez - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Perez will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Moriya will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Perez (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Moriya (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Preview

Perez is ranked ATP: 382. Moriya is ranked ATP: 398.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Perez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alfredo Perez - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Hiroki Moriya - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfredo Perez
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Alfredo Perez - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Alfredo Perez - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Alfredo Perez - Kody Pearson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Alfredo Perez - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Alfredo Perez - Keshav Chopra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Dan Martin - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Hiroki Moriya - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Hiroki Moriya - Keegan Rice	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Hiroki Moriya - Mikael Arseneault	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Hiroki Moriya - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

Alfredo Perez - Hiroki Moriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide