Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday


	Hiroki Moriya		Keegan Rice

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65	Watch
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.46	2.69
			Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.32)	2.65 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
65%

Keegan Rice
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroki Moriya's form might have worsened.

Keegan Rice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Rice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Rice than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keegan Rice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Moriya is ranked ATP: 398. Rice is ranked ATP: 1487.

Moriya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rice has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Moriya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moriya is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Hiroki Moriya - Mikael Arseneault	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Hiroki Moriya - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
30.06.25	Hiroki Moriya - Nick Chappell	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Hiroki Moriya - Reece Falck	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW
- Keegan Rice
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Keegan Rice - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.07.25	Keegan Rice - Blaise Bicknell	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Christian Langmo - Keegan Rice	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Alexandre Bergeron - Keegan Rice	0:2 ✺
12.06.25	Jack Loutit - Keegan Rice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWL

Hiroki Moriya - Keegan Rice: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide