Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Champaign, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Alfredo Perez		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.04	1.69
	2.08	1.78
	12.95	1.00	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (2.1)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfredo Perez
28.4%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfredo Perez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfredo Perez's form might have worsened.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jay Dylan Hara Friend's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfredo Perez than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfredo Perez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jay Dylan Hara Friend, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alfredo Perez - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hara Friend (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Hara Friend (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hara Friend (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Perez is ranked ATP: 315. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 482.

Perez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hara Friend is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hara Friend may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hara Friend is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Hara Friend will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfredo Perez
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Daniil Glinka - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Alfredo Perez - Andrew Fenty	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Dylan Dietrich - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Alfredo Perez - Johannus Monday	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Cannon Kingsley - Alfredo Perez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Edward Winter - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Garrett Johns - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Michael Mmoh - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWW

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