Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fairfield, hard - Final

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Edward Winter		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.25	1.69
	2.11	1.71	Watch
			Watch
	2.17	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.02)	1.65 ↓ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edward Winter
42.9%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edward Winter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edward Winter than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Edward Winter - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Winter will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Hara Friend will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Winter: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Winter (votes: 1 - 50%). Hara Friend (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Winter is ranked ATP: 536. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 743.

Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edward Winter
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Andre Ilagan - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Edward Winter - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Marek Gengel - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Olle Wallin - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Edward Winter - Jacob Brumm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Garrett Johns - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Michael Mmoh - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Aryan Shah - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Spencer Johnson - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWW

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