Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fairfield, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Garrett Johns		Jay Dylan Hara Friend

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.17	1.61	Watch
	2.34	1.64
	2.20	1.60	Watch
	2.15	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.03)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garrett Johns
42.4%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garrett Johns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Jay Dylan Hara Friend has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Dylan Hara Friend than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Garrett Johns - Jay Dylan Hara Friend Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Johns will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hara Friend will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hara Friend (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Johns is ranked ATP: 294. Hara Friend is ranked ATP: 743.

In recent matches, Johns has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hara Friend is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hara Friend may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garrett Johns
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Garrett Johns	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Andrew Fenty - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Philip Sekulic - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Benjamin Hassan - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL
- Jay Dylan Hara Friend
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Jay Dylan Hara Friend - Daniel Milavsky	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Michael Mmoh - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Aryan Shah - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
06.10.25	Spencer Johnson - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW

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