Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: HONG KONG (HONG KONG), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Beatriz Haddad Maia

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.45	1.52	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.52	1.57
	2.6	1.5
	2.65	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.41)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
37.4%

Beatriz Haddad Maia
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Beatriz Haddad Maia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beatriz Haddad Maia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Beatriz Haddad Maia Predictions

Users Predictions: Beatriz Haddad Maia will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sasnovich is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Haddad Maia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sasnovich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Haddad Maia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Beijing
29.09.23	Laura Pigossi - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1 ✺
29.09.23	Diana Shnaider - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Canceled
WTA Guadalajara
19.09.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Caroline Garcia	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
WTA San Diego
13.09.23	Emma Navarro - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 L?LWL
- Beatriz Haddad Maia
WTA Beijing
30.09.23	Jasmine Paolini - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
18.09.23	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Danielle Collins	Canceled ✺
WTA San Diego
14.09.23	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Barbora Krejcikova	0:2 ✺
13.09.23	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Marta Kostyuk	2:1 ✺
12.09.23	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 L?LWW

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