Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	O2 TV Tenis


	Aliaksandra Sasnovich		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.9	1.42
	2.95	1.39
	3.17	1.4
	2.9	1.4
	3.04	1.38	Watch
	2.95	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.91)	1.4 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
31.7%

Jelena Ostapenko
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Jelena Ostapenko will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Sasnovich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ostapenko is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sasnovich won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Kaia Kanepi	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
21.02.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
20.02.23	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Rebeka Masarova	2:1 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.23	Rebecca Marino - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Yulia Putintseva - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWL?
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Dubai
22.02.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
20.02.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Katarina Zavatska	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
15.02.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Madison Keys - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Ostrava
04.10.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2
WTA St Petersburg
11.02.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1
WTA Wimbledon
09.07.18	Jelena Ostapenko - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0
03.07.17	Jelena Ostapenko - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1
WTA Katowice
04.04.16	Jelena Ostapenko - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	N/A

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