Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: DOHA (QATAR), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Jelena Ostapenko		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.63	1.49
	2.7	1.52
	2.6	1.5
	2.62	1.49	Watch
	2.6	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.76)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
36.4%

Jessica Pegula
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelena Ostapenko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Pegula will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ostapenko is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pegula is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ostapenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pegula will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ostapenko won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Doha
14.02.23	Madison Keys - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
08.02.23	Qinwen Zheng - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
06.02.23	Danielle Collins - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
23.01.23	Elena Rybakina - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Cori Gauff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWLW
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Australian Open
24.01.23	Jessica Pegula - Victoria Azarenka	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Jessica Pegula - Barbora Krejcikova	2:0 ✺
19.01.23	Jessica Pegula - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
17.01.23	Jessica Pegula - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Jessica Pegula - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
03.03.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Pegula	0:2
WTA Quebec City
16.09.15	Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Pegula	2:1

Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Pegula: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide