Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday


	Alina Charaeva		Elina Avanesyan

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.42	1.5
	2.4	1.6
	2.37	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.34	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.42)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
38.9%

Elina Avanesyan
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Elina Avanesyan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alina Charaeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Avanesyan than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elina Avanesyan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alina Charaeva - Elina Avanesyan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Avanesyan (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charaeva is ranked WTA: 137. Avanesyan is ranked WTA: 328.

Charaeva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Avanesyan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Charaeva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Avanesyan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Alina Charaeva - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.27%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Alina Charaeva - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Alina Charaeva - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Hanyu Guo - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Darja Vidmanova	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Nao Hibino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWW
- Elina Avanesyan
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Elina Avanesyan - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Elina Avanesyan - Anhelina Kalinina	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Dominika Salkova - Elina Avanesyan	0:2 ✺
WTA Merida
22.02.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Elina Avanesyan	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano - Elina Avanesyan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLW

Alina Charaeva - Elina Avanesyan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide