Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Antalya 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Alina Charaeva		Lia Karatancheva

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.35
	1.3	3.67
	1.24	3.69	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.27	3.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.36)	3.67 ↑ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
74.4%

Lia Karatancheva
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alina Charaeva's performance.

Lia Karatancheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lia Karatancheva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alina Charaeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lia Karatancheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Alina Charaeva - Lia Karatancheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Karatancheva will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Charaeva is ranked WTA: 137. Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 291.

Charaeva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Karatancheva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Charaeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Charaeva is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Charaeva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
04.03.26	Alina Charaeva - Polina Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Hanyu Guo - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Darja Vidmanova	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Nao Hibino	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Alina Charaeva - Xiaodi You	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWW
- Lia Karatancheva
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Carole Monnet - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lia Karatancheva - Chloe Paquet	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Teodora Kostovic - Lia Karatancheva	2:0 ✺
WTA Merida
22.02.26	Heather Watson - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lia Karatancheva - Kayla Cross	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.05.25	Alina Charaeva - Lia Karatancheva	2:1

Alina Charaeva - Lia Karatancheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide