Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Alina Charaeva		Qinwen Zheng

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.60	1.28
	4.10	1.23	Watch
	4.01	1.26	Watch
	3.55	1.30
	3.56	1.30	Watch
	3.65	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (2.53)	1.28 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
25.5%

Qinwen Zheng
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alina Charaeva's form might have worsened.

Qinwen Zheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qinwen Zheng's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alina Charaeva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qinwen Zheng, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alina Charaeva - Qinwen Zheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Zheng will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charaeva: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charaeva is ranked WTA: 118., and Zheng is ranked WTA: 54..

Charaeva has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Zheng has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Zheng carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Charaeva has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Alina Charaeva - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.11%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Qinwen Zheng - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 63.89%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
WTA Beijing
05.10.26	Alina Charaeva - Sonay Kartal	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Elena Rybakina - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
23.09.26	Anna Bondar - Alina Charaeva	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Alina Charaeva - Sofia Kenin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 WWWLW
- Qinwen Zheng
WTA Beijing
05.10.26	Marie Bouzkova - Qinwen Zheng	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Qinwen Zheng - Anna Kalinskaya	Kalinskaya A. Retired ✺
30.09.26	Qinwen Zheng - Han Shi	2:1 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
24.09.26	Jasmine Paolini - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
09.09.26	Qinwen Zheng - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 W?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.09.20	Qinwen Zheng - Alina Charaeva	2:1

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