Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Marie Bouzkova		Qinwen Zheng

	1	2
	2.63	1.50	Watch
	2.54	1.50
	2.35	1.58	Watch
	2.19	1.68	Watch
	2.55	1.54
	2.63	1.50	Watch
	2.55	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.69)	1.55 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marie Bouzkova
38.3%

Qinwen Zheng
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marie Bouzkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Qinwen Zheng has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marie Bouzkova than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marie Bouzkova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qinwen Zheng than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qinwen Zheng could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marie Bouzkova - Qinwen Zheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bouzkova will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Zheng will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Zheng (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Zheng (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bouzkova is ranked WTA: 27., and Zheng is ranked WTA: 54..

Bouzkova has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Zheng has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bouzkova could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marie Bouzkova
WTA Beijing
03.10.26	Marie Bouzkova - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
22.09.26	Marie Bouzkova - Sonay Kartal	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
05.09.26	Iga Swiatek - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Harriet Dart - Marie Bouzkova	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Marie Bouzkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Qinwen Zheng
WTA Beijing
03.10.26	Qinwen Zheng - Anna Kalinskaya	Kalinskaya A. Retired ✺
30.09.26	Qinwen Zheng - Han Shi	2:1 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
24.09.26	Jasmine Paolini - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
09.09.26	Qinwen Zheng - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Iga Swiatek - Qinwen Zheng	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 ?WLLW

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