Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Tokyo - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Alina Charaeva		Rebecca Sramkova

	1	2
			Watch
	4.45	1.22
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	4.02	1.22	Watch
	3.85	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (2.98)	1.23 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
23.4%

Rebecca Sramkova
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alina Charaeva's form might have worsened.

Rebecca Sramkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rebecca Sramkova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alina Charaeva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rebecca Sramkova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Alina Charaeva - Rebecca Sramkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Sramkova will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sramkova: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sramkova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charaeva is ranked WTA: 151. Sramkova is ranked WTA: 65.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Sramkova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sramkova is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Charaeva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
WTA Tokyo
18.10.25	Alina Charaeva - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
WTA Osaka
12.10.25	Tereza Valentova - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Alina Charaeva - Mia Pohankova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Veronika Erjavec - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Alina Charaeva - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW
- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Tokyo
18.10.25	Ena Shibahara - Rebecca Sramkova	1:2 ✺
WTA Osaka
16.10.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Joanna Garland - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.11.23	Alina Charaeva - Rebecca Sramkova	0:2

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