Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Osaka, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Joanna Garland		Rebecca Sramkova

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.33	1.59
	2.38	1.62
	3.40	1.32	Watch
	2.27	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.95)	1.54 ↑ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joanna Garland
37.4%

Rebecca Sramkova
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joanna Garland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joanna Garland's performance.

Rebecca Sramkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rebecca Sramkova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joanna Garland than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joanna Garland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rebecca Sramkova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joanna Garland - Rebecca Sramkova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Garland (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Garland is ranked WTA: 132. Sramkova is ranked WTA: 65.

Garland has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sramkova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sramkova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sramkova is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joanna Garland
WTA Osaka
13.10.25	Caty McNally - Joanna Garland	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Ena Koike - Joanna Garland	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.10.25	Caroline Dolehide - Joanna Garland	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Joanna Garland - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Joanna Garland - Linda Fruhvirtova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWL
- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Wuhan
08.10.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Anna Kalinskaya	2:1 ✺
WTA Beijing
25.09.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Elena Gabriela Ruse	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
25.08.25	Ann Li - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
WTA Monterrey
21.08.25	Alycia Parks - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLL

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