Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	18:40	HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:40	HBO Max
Bulgaria	19:40	HBO Max
Croatia	18:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	18:40	HBO Max
Denmark	18:40	HBO Max
Finland	19:40	HBO Max
France	18:40	HBO Max
Hungary	18:40	HBO Max
Moldova	19:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	18:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	18:40	HBO Max
North Macedonia	18:40	HBO Max
Norway	18:40	HBO Max
Poland	18:40	HBO Max
Romania	19:40	HBO Max
Serbia	18:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	18:40	HBO Max
Spain	18:40	HBO Max
Sweden	18:40	HBO Max


	Alina Charaeva		Xiyu Wang

	1	2
	3.4	1.3
	3.2	1.33
	3.31	1.31
	3.33	1.33
	3.36	1.31	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.33	1.32	Watch
	3.1	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.31)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Charaeva
28.7%

Xiyu Wang
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.8%

71.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Charaeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Xiyu Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xiyu Wang than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Alina Charaeva - Xiyu Wang Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Charaeva will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Wang will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Wang (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wang (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charaeva is ranked WTA: 196. Wang is ranked WTA: 138.

Charaeva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Wang is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Wang is a strong favorite.

We predict that Wang will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Petra Marcinko - Alina Charaeva	1:2 ✺
18.08.25	Monika Ekstrand - Alina Charaeva	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.25	Katerina Siniakova - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Alina Charaeva - Anastasia Kulikova	Kulikova A. retired ✺
17.07.25	Vitalia Diatchenko - Alina Charaeva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWL?L
- Xiyu Wang
WTA US Open
21.08.25	Petra Martic - Xiyu Wang	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Carson Branstine - Xiyu Wang	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Iryna Shymanovich - Xiyu Wang	Wang Xiy. retired ✺
03.08.25	Janice Tjen - Xiyu Wang	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Xiyu Wang - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WW?WW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Charaeva
ATP Challenger
28.10.26	Gabriela Knutson - Alina Charaeva	✺

Alina Charaeva - Xiyu Wang