Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Lexington, KY, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday


	Xiyu Wang		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35
			Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.35	2.90	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.62	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.85)	2.38 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xiyu Wang
60.6%

Varvara Lepchenko
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xiyu Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xiyu Wang's performance.

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Lepchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiyu Wang than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xiyu Wang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Lepchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Xiyu Wang - Varvara Lepchenko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lepchenko (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wang is ranked WTA: 158. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 126.

Wang is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lepchenko has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Lepchenko - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xiyu Wang
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Victoria Hu - Xiyu Wang	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Ayana Akli - Xiyu Wang	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Elvina Kalieva - Xiyu Wang	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Xiyu Wang - Caty McNally	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	Yue Yuan - Xiyu Wang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW
- Varvara Lepchenko
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Lea Ma - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Saki Imamura - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Usue Maitane Arconada - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Washington
20.07.25	Kamilla Rakhimova - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.07.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWLL

Xiyu Wang - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide