Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 5, hard

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Alina Tikhonova		Naho Sato

	1	2
	1.72	1.98
	1.72	2.00
	1.82	2.01
	1.80	1.99
	1.71	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.66)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alina Tikhonova
53.2%

Naho Sato
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alina Tikhonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Naho Sato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Tikhonova than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naho Sato than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Alina Tikhonova - Naho Sato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tikhonova is ranked WTA: 885. Sato is ranked WTA: 584.

Tikhonova has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sato is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Tikhonova will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Naho Sato - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.59%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alina Tikhonova
ITF Tournaments
17.07.26	Alina Tikhonova - Seo Yun Choi	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Alina Tikhonova - Salakthip Ounmuang	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Chengyiyi Yuan - Alina Tikhonova	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Alina Tikhonova - Cheuk Ying Shek	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Maria Kalyakina - Alina Tikhonova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- Naho Sato
ITF Tournaments
17.07.26	Naho Sato - Anastasiia Gureva	Sato N. Walkover ✺
16.07.26	Naho Sato - Gio Jang	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Naho Sato - Junlu Sun	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Dayeon Back - Naho Sato	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Naho Sato - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 ?WWLW

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