Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 4, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Alisa Oktiabreva		Yue Yuan

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.78	2.16
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.75	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.57)	2.15 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alisa Oktiabreva
56.2%

Yue Yuan
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alisa Oktiabreva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Yue Yuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alisa Oktiabreva than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yue Yuan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Alisa Oktiabreva - Yue Yuan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Oktiabreva is ranked WTA: 281. Yuan is ranked WTA: 111.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Yuan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oktiabreva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Yue Yuan - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alisa Oktiabreva
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Francesca Curmi - Alisa Oktiabreva	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Alisa Oktiabreva - Ayana Akli	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Elizara Yaneva - Alisa Oktiabreva	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Elena Ruxandra Bertea - Alisa Oktiabreva	2:1 ✺
WTA Bogota
29.03.26	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Alisa Oktiabreva	Sanchez A. S. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWL?
- Yue Yuan
ATP Challenger
20.04.26	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Yue Yuan - Marina Bassols Ribera	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Yue Yuan - Carmen Gallardo Guevara	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
01.04.26	Yue Yuan - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Mayar Sherif - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW

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