Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday


	Altug Celikbilek		Vitaliy Sachko

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.56	2.38
	1.62	2.32
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.4)	2.3 ↓ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altug Celikbilek
59.5%

Vitaliy Sachko
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altug Celikbilek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Altug Celikbilek's form might have worsened.

Vitaliy Sachko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitaliy Sachko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altug Celikbilek than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Altug Celikbilek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitaliy Sachko than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitaliy Sachko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Altug Celikbilek - Vitaliy Sachko Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Celikbilek will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Sachko will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sachko: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Celikbilek is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sachko is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Celikbilek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Celikbilek will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Celikbilek won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altug Celikbilek
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Gijs Brouwer - Altug Celikbilek	0:2 ✺
13.02.23	Antoine Bellier - Altug Celikbilek	2:0 ✺
08.02.23	Richard Berankis - Altug Celikbilek	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
04.02.23	Altug Celikbilek - Bor Artnak	Canceled ✺
03.02.23	Altug Celikbilek - Sebastian Dominko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLL?W
- Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
06.03.23	Edas Butvilas - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Timofey Stepanov - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	Marius Copil - Vitaliy Sachko	2:1 ✺
14.02.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Andrea Arnaboldi	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.12.21	Vitaliy Sachko - Altug Celikbilek	0:2
27.03.21	Vitaliy Sachko - Altug Celikbilek	2:0

Altug Celikbilek - Vitaliy Sachko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide