Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GUAYAQUIL (ECUADOR), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Alvaro Guillen Meza		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.2	1.7
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.59	Watch
	2.23	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.33)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvaro Guillen Meza
41.3%

Lukas Neumayer
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Alvaro Guillen Meza - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guillen Meza will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Neumayer will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guillen Meza: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Guillen Meza is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neumayer is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Neumayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Neumayer will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
15.10.23	Gonzalo Villanueva - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
09.10.23	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.10.23	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
25.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
23.10.23	Vit Kopriva - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
16.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
10.10.23	Lukas Neumayer - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Ergi Kirkin - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLL

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