Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES 2 (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 October 2023, Tuesday


	Lukas Neumayer		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.41	1.6
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	1.4	2.78	Watch
	1.36	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.18)	2.01 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
50.3%

Jozef Kovalik
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Neumayer's performance.

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jozef Kovalik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Neumayer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jozef Kovalik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Lukas Neumayer - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Kovalik will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovalik: 41.6% – 98.4%.

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Preview

Neumayer is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kovalik is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
19.09.23	Ergi Kirkin - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
14.09.23	Flavio Cobolli - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
12.09.23	Lukas Neumayer - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
05.09.23	Lukas Neumayer - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
31.08.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWLL
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
22.09.23	Jozef Kovalik - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Jozef Kovalik - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
18.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
13.09.23	Jozef Kovalik - Pedro Cachin	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

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